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Integrated and spatial modelling

Land use and land use change (LULCC) manifest as complex phenomena involving multiple, often nonlinear processes extending over different spatial and temporal scales. At the same time, essentially LULCC is a result of complex interlinkages between the biophysical characteristics and human systems. These processes are relevant for both rural and urban settings. Efforts to understand these phenomena thoroughly and effectively therefore need to be grounded in interdisciplinary paradigms drawing on both natural and social science perspectives. In doing so, these efforts need to consider spatial dimension in an explicit manner since LULCC and the implications of proposed interventions are spatially varied. Rich insights from such efforts are expected to contribute towards better, more effective policies, regulations and planning for land use by fully taking into account environmental, social and economic sustainability at various scales (local, national, regional, and global).

The overarching aim of the SGA is to develop and to apply scientifically robust quantitative models that combine data and methods linking both natural science and social science domains. Research within the SGA seeks to integrate the strengths of and expertise in economic, spatial, hydrological catchment, marine and air quality/pollution modelling, and within nature/biodiversity and ecosystem services research.  The integrated and spatial modelling endeavours seek to capture the interdependence between the environmental phenomenon(a) related to LULCC, the impacts and the policy/market/household responses at different spatial scales. In this way, the focus of the SGA is on understanding both direct and indirect impacts, feedback mechanisms, as well as intended and unintended side effects of alternative policy responses. The SGA has a strong interest and expertise in applying spatial analysis in a wide range of issues related to LULCC. Overall, the SGA places emphasis on undertaking analysis and developing models that are spatially explicit and have clear policy relevance.

Publications

Integrated and spatial modelling for environmental management - publications within the research area.

Click to expand publication list

Termansen, M., Hasler, B. & Levin, G. (2011). Velfærdsøkonomiske aspekter. In T. Asferg, R. Ejrnæs & A. Skjoldborg Hansen (Eds.), Danmarks biodiversitet 2010: Status, udvikling og trusler (pp. 133-144). Danmarks Miljøundersøgelser, Aarhus Universitet. http://www2.dmu.dk/Pub/FR815.pdf
Levin, G., Kastrup Blemmer, M. & Nielsen, M. R. (2012). Basemap: Technical documentation of a model for elaboration of a land-use and land-cover map for Denmark. Aarhus University, DCE - Danish Centre for Environment and Energy. Technical Report from DCE - Danish Centre for Environment and Energy No. 11 http://www2.dmu.dk/pub/tr11.pdf
Lee, J., Lee, J.-H., Kim, C.-K. & Thomsen, M. (2013). Childhood exposure to DEHP, DBP and BBP in Denmark and Korea. Abstract from Environmental Health 2013, Boston, United States.
Lee, J., Lee, J.-H., Kim, C.-K. & Thomsen, M. (2013). Childhood exposure to DEHP, DBP and BBP under the existing chemical management systems: A comparative study of sources to aggregate exposure in Korea and in Denmark. Abstract from environment and health conference of ISEE, ISES and ISIAQ, basel, Switzerland.
Petersen, L. K., Levin, G., Ejrnæs, R., Zandersen, M., Jensen, A. & Brunbjerg, A. K. (2014). Parcelhushaven - en del af byens natur. Aarhus University, DCE - Danish Centre for Environment and Energy. Videnskabelig rapport fra DCE - Nationalt Center for Miljø og Energi No. 90 http://dce2.au.dk/pub/SR90.pdf
Termansen, M., Levin, G., Hasler, B., Jacobsen, J., Lundhede, T. & Jellesmark Thorsen, B. (2015). Status for kortlægning af økosystemer, økosystemtjenester og deres værdier i Danmark. Videnskabelig rapport fra DCE - Nationalt Center for Miljø og Energi No. 147 http://dce2.au.dk/pub/SR147.pdf
Zandersen, M., Lundhede, T., Martinsen, L., Hasler, B. & Termansen, M. (2018). Nye nøgletal på natur- og miljøområdet – et litteraturstudie over muligheder og begrænsninger. In Videnskabelig rapport fra DCE - Nationalt Center for Miljø og Energi (276 ed.). Aarhus University, DCE - Danish Centre for Environment and Energy. https://dce2.au.dk/pub/SR276.pdf
Reusch, T. B. H., Dierking, J., Andersson, H. C., Bonsdorff, E., Carstensen, J., Casini, M., Czajkowski, M., Hasler, B., Klaus, H., Hyytiainen, K., Johannesson, K., Jomaa, S., Jormalainen, V., Kuosa, H., Kurland, S., Laikre, L., McKenzie, B. R., Magonski, P., Melzner, F. ... Zandersen, M. (2018). The Baltic Sea as a time machine for the future coastal ocean. Science Advances, 4(5), Article eaar8195. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aar8195
Hasler, B., Hyytiainen, K., Refsgaard, J. C., Smart, J. C. R. & Tonderski, K. (2019). Sustainable ecosystem governance under changing climate and land use: An introduction. AMBIO, 48(11), 1235-1239. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-019-01269-9
Ollikainen, M., Hasler, B., Elofsson, K., Iho, A., Andersen, H. E., Czajkowski, M. & Peterson, K. (2019). Toward the Baltic Sea Socioeconomic Action Plan. Ambio, 48(11), 1377-1388. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-019-01264-0
Schumacher, J., Bergqvist, L., van Beest, F., Carstensen, J., Gustafsson, B., Hasler, B., Fleming, V., Nygård, H., Pakalniete, K., Sokolov, A., Zandersen, M. & Schernewski, G. (2020). Bridging the science-policy gap – towards better integration of decision support tools in coastal and marine policy implementation. Frontiers in Marine Science, 7, Article 587500. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.587500

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Rural and Urban Land Use - persons involved

Steen Gyldenkærne , Senior Researcher , Department of Environmental Science - Atmospheric Emissions & Modelling
Gregor Levin , Senior Advisor , Department of Environmental Science - Environmental social science and geography
Mette Hjorth Mikkelsen , Special Consultant , Department of Environmental Science - Atmospheric Emissions & Modelling
Doan Nainggolan , Senior Researcher , Department of Environmental Science - Environmental social science and geography
Marianne Zandersen , Professor , Department of Environmental Science - Environmental social science and geography